Vanguard News Network
VNN Media
VNN Digital Library
VNN Reader Mail
VNN Broadcasts

Old October 25th, 2014 #1
Jerry Abbott
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Nov 2007
Location: In the hills north of Hillsboro WV
Posts: 1,048
Default The History of the Ebola Zaire Outbreak of 2014.

The History of the Ebola Zaire Outbreak of 2014.

Part 1. February and March.
A Comedy of Errors.

Late 2013. A two-year-old African boy in the village of Meliandou in Guéckédou Prefecture in Guinea was given to eat a bite of bushmeat from an infected bat. The boy got sick and died on 6 December 2013, and thereafter his sister, mother, and grandmother acquired the disease and also died. The people who attended the funerals of these people were infected with ebola and carried the disease with them to other villages.

9 February. The first case of unknown disease was found in Guinea, Africa.

14 March. An unknown disease was reported in Macenta Prefecture, Guinea, killing eight people and infecting several others. The disease was manifested by anal and nasal bleeding and seemed to resemble Lassa Fever.

19 March. Hemorrhagic fever killed at least 23 people in Guinea's southeastern forest region since February when the first case was reported. Symptoms include high fever, diarrhea, and vomiting, and in some cases heavy bleeding. Most of the victims had contact with those who had already died of the disease. Medical samples were sent to Senegal and to France for testing.

21 March. French tests narrow possibilities to either Ebola or Marburg Hemorrhagic Fever. 29 people are already dead from the disease in Guinea.

22 March. The virus is identified as ebola. It is suspected that the first cases crossed on this day into Sierra Leone as relatives of a dead victim were infected by touching the body at the funeral and then carrying the virus back home. Deaths from ebola in Guinea reach 50.

23 March. Ebola spreads through Nzerekore and Kissidougou Prefectures and reaches Guinea's capital city, Conakry.

24 March. Virus identified as Ebola Zaire. A man from West Africa shows up in Saskatchewan, Canada, with ebola and is quarantined in a hospital.

25 March. So far, 61 deaths in Guinea. Ebola spreads into Liberia as five bodies are found in the northern Lofa County. The sale and eating of bats is banned in Guinea.

26 March. Authorities in Conakry falsely claim that the disease is "contained" and that it has not spread beyond southeast Guinea.

27 March. Authorities in Monrovia falsely claim that the disease has not spread to Liberia. Meanwhile, four cases of ebola are found in Conakry.

28 March. Four MORE cases of ebola are found in Conakry. One of the victims dies: it's the 66th ebola death in Guinea.

29 March. The number of ebola deaths in Guinea rises to 70.

30 March. Two cases of ebola are confirmed in Liberia.

31 March. Deaths in Guinea: 78. Deaths in Liberia: 1.

Last edited by Jerry Abbott; October 26th, 2014 at 05:30 PM.
 
Old October 25th, 2014 #2
Jerry Abbott
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Nov 2007
Location: In the hills north of Hillsboro WV
Posts: 1,048
Default

The History of the Ebola Zaire Outbreak of 2014.

Part 2. April.
A Rude Awakening!

1 April. The World Health Organization plays down the seriousness of the ebola outbreak, calling it "relatively small."

2 April. Eighty-four ebola deaths in Guinea. Foreign mining firms shut down operations and withdraw international staff.

3 April. The first "official" ebola case in Liberia is reported, although seven other Liberians had already unofficially died of the same disease. Mali reported three "suspected" ebola cases.

4 April. An airplane from Conakry to Paris's Charles De Gaulle airport is quarantined for two hours. An angry mob attacked a Medecins Sans Frontieres treatment center, forcing it to shut down. Demonstrators in Mali's capital city of Bamako demanded that the border with Guinea be sealed over worries about the spread of ebola.

7 April. Guinea: 151 suspected cases, 95 deaths. Two persons from Guinea appeared in Sibiribougou, Mali, and they had symptoms similar to those of ebola.

9 April. Authorities in Mali deny that there is any ebola in Mali.

10 April. Twelve dead from ebola in Liberia (mostly in Lofa and Margibi Counties), and 101 dead in Guinea. The WHO realizes that the situation might be serious, after all, and sends medical aid Guinea.

14 April. Guinea: 168 cases, 108 deaths.

20 April. Guinea: 208 cases, 136 deaths.

29 April. Guinea: 224 cases, 143 deaths.
 
Old October 25th, 2014 #3
Jerry Abbott
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Nov 2007
Location: In the hills north of Hillsboro WV
Posts: 1,048
Default

The History of the Ebola Zaire Outbreak of 2014.

Part 3. May.
Deadly Denials!

1 May. The authorities in Liberia and Guinea begin to play down the spread of ebola in their respective countries. Liberia stops counting new ebola cases, and it won't acknowledge any new cases until 18 June.

9 May. WHO surges medical personnel into West Africa to deal with those new ebola cases that the national governments claim don't exist.

25 May. While everybody was thinking ebola had been licked, it was in fact killing people in both Guinea and Sierra Leone, especially in Koindi, Kissy Teng chiefdom, in the Kailahun district east of Sierra Leone near the border with Guinea.

28 May. It dawns on the Guineans that their government might have been lying about the containment of ebola, as new areas of the country discover infected people.

29 May. Known deaths from ebola in Guinea reach 185. Additional suspected ebola cases appear in Sierra Leone.

30 May. The number of cases of ebola in Sierra Leone rises to 50. Liberia continues to be silent about any increase in the number of ebola cases there.
 
Old October 25th, 2014 #4
Jerry Abbott
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Nov 2007
Location: In the hills north of Hillsboro WV
Posts: 1,048
Default

The History of the Ebola Zaire Outbreak of 2014.

Part 4. June.
Passing the buck.

1 June. Four confirmed deaths from ebola in Sokoma village, Kailahun District, Sierra Leone. Ebola cases: Guinea 291, Sierra Leone 50, Liberia 26 (at least).

2 June. Guinea's national health ministry resumes acknowledging that ebola is still out-of-control in the country. Guinean Health Minister Remy Lamah refers to "laxness" as if it weren't his own and to "a lack of information," as if he had been doing everything in his power to seek out information and ensure that it was passed along to wherever it needed to go. (He hadn't been.)

3 June. Christian Aid begins collaborating with the Council of Churches, Sierra Leone (CCSL) and with district health authorities. "Non-essential" staff at London Mining leave Sierra Leone. Robin Faley, the publicity secretary for the All Peoples Congress (APC) began a campaign to educate residents on Ebola signs, symptoms, transmission, prevention, and treatment.

4 June. The first suspected case of ebola reaches Freetown, the capital city of Sierra Leone. Guinea: 328 cases, 208 deaths.

5 June. Sierra Leone: 79 cases, 6 deaths.

6 June. Liberian government still has its head buried in the sand.

8 June. It is reported that 35 of the ebola cases in Sierra Leone trace back to the funeral of a tribal medicine woman whose grieving patients had handled her infected dead body.

9 June. In Sierra Leone, ebola moves into the town of Mambolo in the Kambia district. Deaths in Sierra Leone reach 12.

11 June. Ebola kills the locally auspicious Madame Amie Ngumbu Klah, the senior wife of Paramount Chief of Jawei Chiefdom. Finally showing some grit, Sierra Leone shut its borders to trade with Guinea and Liberia; established health checkpoints; closed schools, cinemas, and nightclubs; and required burials to have medical supervision. Sierra Leone: 117 cases, 17 deaths.

12 June. Government of Sierra Leone belatedly declares a state of emergency in the Kailahun district.

15 June. Breaking a long silence, Liberia’s Health and Social Welfare Ministry confirmed six ebola deaths in New Kru Town (a suburb of Monrovia) with one additional infected person. The cases were attributed to a woman who went to Sierra Leone to pick up relatives, and then returned to Liberia in their company.

16 June. Sierra Leone: 138 cases, 19 deaths. Several new cases appear in Foya District of Liberia's Lofa County.

17 June. Sierra Leone: 20 deaths from ebola so far.

18 June. More ebola cases appear in Liberia. Total cases in West Africa reach 528, with 337 deaths.

19 June. Shabbily educated Africans want to know whether "a mix of ginger, honey, garlic, onion and vinegar can cure ebola." The politically wily authorities in West Africa, anxious to appear to be of some use to the people, go around sternly warning everyone not to eat bat-meat, although this hasn't been the major form of transmission since the human-to-human vector became efficient.

20 June. Doctors Without Borders has declares West Africa's ebola outbreak "totally out of control."

21 June. Pierre Formenty, a WHO specialist, attributed the recent resurgence of ebola to a "relaxation" of containment efforts. (He refers to how the West African governments downplayed the epidemic for political reasons.) Although the first wave of ebola was starting to diminish by the end of April, a second wave that began in early May was cresting in late May. Formenty stressed that one cas can restart an entire epidemic. About 160 foreign medical experts had been sent to West Africa to fight the disease.

22 June. West Africa: 567 cases and 350 deaths.

24 June. Guinea: 390 cases and 270 deaths.

25 June. The WHO bows to demand of Sierra Leone government to adjust the number of deaths attributed to ebola downward to deaths in cases for which ebola had been confirmed by lab tests. A new treatment center opened for ebola patients at the ELWA Hospital in Paynesville, outside Monrovia, Liberia. West Africa: 599 cases and 338 deaths. Dr. Bart Janssens, a director of MSF, said, "The epidemic is out of control" and referred to a lack of enough personnel to deal with any new outbreaks in other areas.

26 June. Some typical Negro behavior manifested in Konia Town, Liberia, when health workers were attacked by members of the Zeyeama Clan, who had somehow convinced themselves that ebola did not exist and that the health workers were only present in order to do mischief. African blacks begin stealing for personal use bars of soap, buckets of chlorinated water, and other hygiene products that had been provided to the public. Twenty members of Overseas Filipino Workers got scared when they heard that ebola was out of control and went home. Medics and religious leaders sharply criticized the governments of the three affected West African countries for dishonestly minimizing the ebola problem. Guinea now has 396 cases and 280 deaths, Sierra Leone has 176 cases and 46 deaths, and Liberia has 63 cases and 41 deaths. West Africa: 635 cases, 367 deaths.

27 June. Africans turn to "faith-healing," which of course does not work, and the disease simply spreads as infected people hold hands and pray together in their churches. An ebola patient ran away with his family to another city, and an all-points-bulletin was put out to be on the lookout for him, as he must be presumed infected and dangerous. He was finally located in Bo City, Sierra Leone. Sierra Leone's Health Ministry warned the general public that it is a serious crime to shelter someone infected by Ebola, and then went on to lament the fact that some patients have fled from hospitals and gone into hiding.

30 June. A member of a medically supervised medical team said, "We need to find a special place to bury these corpses, if not, the bodies will keep piling up on us. If we don't bury them, they will begin to decompose and then that will be trouble for all of us." The natives are sometimes hostile toward these burial teams and chase them away.
 
Old October 25th, 2014 #5
Jerry Abbott
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Nov 2007
Location: In the hills north of Hillsboro WV
Posts: 1,048
Default

The History of the Ebola Zaire Outbreak of 2014.

Part 5. July.
Superstition Rises.

1 July. Ebola reaches 90 cases and 49 deaths in Liberia, prompting its president, Ellen Johnson-Sirleaf, to express concern. Duh. Fifty-seven ebola patients escape from their treatment centers in Sierra Leone and go into hiding. After four patients and a nurse died of ebola at Redemption Hospital in the New Kru Town, Liberia, other residents began to avoid the place on the theory that being interned in a hospital had become a quick way to die. West Africa: 759 cases, 467 deaths.

2 July. The natives become restless in SE Guinea, chasing a Red Cross vehicle and threatening its driver with knives and machetes, which prompted the Red Cross to withdraw its international staff from an ebola center in Gueckedou. Similar episodes of negritude were reported by Doctors Without Borders. The government of the Philippines put a travel restriction on Filipinos with regard to West Africa. At C.H. Rennie Memorial Hospital in Kakata, Liberia, nurses fled their work for fear of ebola—apparently there weren't enough suits of protective clothing to go around. A Ugandan doctor working at Redeption Hospital in New Kru Town died of ebola.

3 July. Liberia: 104 cases, 66 deaths. WHO expects the ebola outbreak to continue for several months. The blacks had again convinced themselves that whitey is to blame for everything, and Doctors Without Borders were barred from southern Guinea due to hostility. West Africa: 779 cases, 481 deaths.

4 July. Public health officials say that although ebola might spread from West Africa into Africa generally, it is unlikely to spread beyond Africa. There is some justification for this belief. First, Westerners and Asians are not nearly so prone to superstition nor nearly as culturally hidebound as Africans are. Second, non-Africans for the most part don't shit in the open by the roadside as Africans frequently do. Third, non-Africans know better than to eat bush-meat. And, fourth, the West has more and better doctors and medical facilities than Africa has. Still, it is possible that ebola could spread in a high population density urban environment, even in the West. A warning appears in The Lancet that many cases of ebola in Sierra Leone are going undetected. A similar situation may exist in Guinea and in Liberia also. The reasons for the underreporting are: infected Africans often prefer traditional remedies, diagnostic tests are expensive, and a positive diagnosis conveys a certain social stigma.

6 July. In southern Guinea, where Doctors Without Borders had been having something of an image problem with the locals, an ebola patient in one of their treatment centers actually survived. The staff shrewdly made a big production of the survivor's good fortune, implicitly crediting their skills, and this lessened the tension between the natives and the medical personnel.

7 July. The success of their public relations effort of the previous day motivated Doctors Without Borders to exercise the same political savvy elsewhere in Guinea.

8 July. Liberia: 131 cases, 84 deaths. Sierra Leone: 305 cases, 127 deaths. Guinea: 408 cases, 307 deaths. West Africa: 844 cases, 518 deaths.

9 July. Grand Kru County (Liberia) Senator, Dr. Peter S. Coleman, told Plenary that they should cough up enough money to do a better job fighting ebola. He also disclosed that 10 of the ebola deaths were health care workers. In Sierra Leone, another 7 medical personnel had died of ebola at Kenema Hospital, prompting nurses who worked with Ebola patients to strike for higher pay, saying that 100,000 leone (which is equal to $23) per MONTH isn't enough of a bonus to compensate for the risks of treating ebola infectees. I should tend to agree, since $23 per month isn't enough of a bonus to motivate anyone at all to do anything at all.

11 July. West Africa: 888 cases, 539 deaths.

14 July. Religious leaders are recruited to teach West Africans about ebola in their churches and Sunday Schools. (How does an evil ebola virus look? Like a cross between Satan and a limp spaghetti noodle?)

15 July. Guinea: 406 cases, 304 deaths. Liberia: 172 cases, 105 deaths. Sierra Leone: 386 cases, 194 deaths. West Africa: 964 cases, 603 deaths.

16 July. WHO created a Coordination Center in Conakry, Guinea. The center will be responsible for ensuring the most effective use of limited resources.

17 July. A group of Liberian scoundrels found a way to make themselves some money by posing as health workers in Monrovia and surrounding areas, offering a (fake) ebola vaccine in exchange for a fee.

19 July. Some unlucky West African became the 1000th person to be infected with ebola in 2014.

20 July. An invasion of the administrators has begun, as another WHO coordination center is created in Freetown, Sierra Leone.

21 July. Four nurses working at the Phebe Hospital in Suakoko, Liberia, were infected with ebola, and were sent into quarantine in Monrovia.

23 July. Sheik Umar Khan, a virologist who treated more than 100 Ebola patients, caught the disease himself, along with four nurses working with him. They all died.

24 July. West Africa: 1093 cases, 660 deaths. Dr. Samuel Brisbane, one of the senior doctors at JFK Memorial Hospital in Monrovia, Liberia, died; the hospital considers a shut-down because of the overload of ebola cases. Nurses have been leaving their jobs because the hospital won't pay them and because they are afraid of getting the disease.

25 July. Patrick Sawyer, a very fat black man with dual US-Liberian citizenship, was employed by the Liberian Ministry of Finance. He had been exposed to ebola before leaving Liberia on a business trip. While passing through Nigeria, he collapsed at the airport in Lagos, and some foolish people ran over to help him... Thus Sawyer began an ebola mini-epidemic in Nigeria.

26 July. US doctor Kent Brantly is infected with ebola. (He survived.)

27 July. There is an international spate of locking the barn doors after the horses have run away. President Ellen Sirleaf declares a national emergency and appoints a national task force, probably composed of yet another useless bunch of administrators. Airport officials in Nigeria and Togo decide it's time to start screening travelers from Liberia. Nancy Writebol, another American health care worker, becomes sick with ebola. (She also survived.)

28 July. An unscrupulous nurse in Sierra Leone sought to make a reputation for herself at the expense of more honorable healthcare workers. She made a speech at a fish market in Kenema in which she denied the existence of the ebola virus and said that it was a trick to lure West Africans into hospitals where white doctors killed and ate them in gruesome cannibalistic rituals. Now, you and I know that white people don't do cannibalistic rituals. Some Africans engage in such activities, however, so to them the accusation seemed more plausible and somewhat less far-fetched than it would sound to us. So the West African tribal drums started beating for vengeance and for a purification of the land of the evil white man. Tappity-tap. Boom boom boom. Tappity tappity tap. Boom boom.

29 July. A Freetown (Sierra Leone) woman suffering from ebola was forcibly removed from a hospital by angry relatives (probably to save her from being eaten). Later, when the woman again sought medical help, she died en route to the treatment center. Liberian President Sirleaf closes the national borders except for guarded main entrance routes; she also restricted public demonstrations. In Nigeria, the hospital that had Patrick Sawyer in quarantine began refusing new patients for a week. The Nigerian airline Arik Air suspended flights to both Liberia and Sierra Leone.

31 July. After two of its volunteer workers were exposed to an ebola patient, the Peace Corps withdrew 340 workers from ebola affected countries. Liberian Justice Minister Christian Tah told taxi drivers and bus transporters to reduce their passenger loads or face jail time. Guinea: 339 deaths. Sierra Leone: 233 deaths. Liberia: 156 deaths. Nigeria: 1 death. West Africa: 729 deaths.

Last edited by Jerry Abbott; October 26th, 2014 at 05:39 PM.
 
Old October 25th, 2014 #6
Jerry Abbott
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Nov 2007
Location: In the hills north of Hillsboro WV
Posts: 1,048
Default

The History of the Ebola Zaire Outbreak of 2014.

Part 6. August.
Too Little, Too Late.

1 August. Dubai's Emirates suspends flights to West Africa. Margaret Chan, boss of the World Health Organization, meets with the presidents of Guinea, Liberia, and Sierra Leone in Conakry, telling them, "This outbreak is moving faster than our efforts to control it. If the situation continues to deteriorate, the consequences can be catastrophic in terms of lost lives but also severe socioeconomic disruption and a high risk of spread to other countries."

2 August. West Africa: 1,440 cases, 826 deaths.

3 August. Dr. Ken Brantly, infected with ebola on 26 July, is transferred to Emory University Hospital in Atlanta, Georgia, USA. The United Kingdom, having had a bad scare when a female immigrant from West Africa died of an illness, was relieved when lab tests shows her body to be without ebola viruses. No word on whether the UK was induced to change its immigration policies with respect to Africa, however.

4 August. The Nigerian mini-epidemic spreads, and a Nigerian doctor becomes infected. Troops deploy in Sierra Leone to form a barrier enforcing the quarantine of badly infected villages. West Africa: 1663 cases, 887 deaths.

5 August. Ebola spreads into Grand Bassa County, Liberia. The first ebola victim there was an unidentified man who died at the Catholic Health Center in Buchanan. Two of his nurses were put into quarantine. Nigerian health authorities finally get around to putting several people who, on 25 July, had rushed to assist the corpulent, infected person of Patrick Sawyer into quarantine.

6 August. A Nigerian nurse who attended Patrick Sawyer dies of ebola. Five additional infected persons are discovered in Lagos. Also, there is a suspected ebola death in Saudi Arabia. President Ellen Johnson Sirleaf declares a state of emergency in Liberia, announcing a possible curtailment of civil rights. WHO has a meeting of some Emergency Committee or other to discuss whether the ebola outbreak in West Africa might eventually afflict the entire world.

7 August. Nigeria's Minister of Health, Onyebuchi Chukwu, declares a national emergency. Police and soldiers blockade villages in Liberia and in Sierra Leone, not letting anyone out, with orders to shoot to kill anyone who might approach them or threaten to escape.

8 August. WHO declares an international health emergency.

9 August. President Alpha Conde declares that he will close Guinea's borders with Liberia and with Sierra Leone, but he almost immediately changes his mind and doesn't. Liberia president apologizes for high toll for Ebola health workers. The African countries of Zambia and Gambia impose travel restrictions. Researchers say that the whole ebola epidemic might have started in the village of Guéckédou, Guinea, on 6 December 2013 with the death of a two-year-old boy who had shown ebola-like symptoms. Members of the toddler's family soon afterward became sick also, and died.

10 August. India's first suspected case of ebola lands at an airport in Chennai, Tamil Nadu. Hong Kong's first suspected case of ebola appears and is quarantined. Nigeria bans the transport of dead bodies from one part of the country to another.

11 August. India has its 2nd suspected case of ebola when a man traveling from West Africa lands in Mumbai, Maharashtra, and becomes sick. Liberia's government deploys soldiers to cordon off Bomi County, forbidding travel across the county line in either direction. Subsequently the counties Lofa, Bong, Montserrado, and Grand Cape Mount were given the same treatment. Mauritania and Ivory Coast deny entrance to travelers from the afflicted West African countries. (Meanwhile, Barack Obama won't even consider a travel ban on West Africans for the United States.)

12 August. Experimental drug for treating ebola is sent from US to Liberia at the request of President Sirleaf. Additional doses of the same drug were promised by Margaret Chan of WHO. Guinea-Bissau closed its border with Guinea. In Nigeria, Jatto Abdulqudir, a staff member of Economic Community of West African States, follows Patrick Sawyer and his unfortunate nurse into death. How he got ebola is not yet clear.

13 August. Liberia, under the impression that it has developed a vaccine against ebola, begins using it. (It doesn't seem to work.) Turkey has a pair of scares. A mother and child, flying Turkish Airlines from Lagos to Istanbul, were quarantined after they showed signs of fever and vomiting. Two sick Nigerians also landing at İstanbul Atatürk Airport were quarantined until they were discovered to be suffering from malaria instead of ebola. In Sierra Leone, Dr. Modupeh Cole died. He had been in charge of the isolation ward in Connaught Hospital in Freetown. West Africa: 1975 cases, 1069 deaths. It is reported that Patrick Sawyer, the fat American-Liberian black who brought ebola to Nigeria, had disobeyed medical advice and traveled to Enugu, resulting in quarantines being needed there. President Alpha Conde postures himself grandly as he announces that ebola is "now" a national emergency in Guinea.

14 August. A nurse who, with her husband, fled from her quarantine in Lagos is captured and returned to quarantine, this time under guard.

15 August. Guinea: 519 cases, 380 deaths. Liberia: 786 cases, 413 deaths. Sierra Leone: 810 cases, 348 deaths. Nigeria: 12 cases, 4 deaths.

16 August. Kenya closes its borders to Guinea, Liberia and Sierra Leone.

17 August. "Youths" armed with machetes attack an ebola treatment center in Liberia, breaking down the doors; 29 ebola patients fled into the countryside. Twelve of them were later found and brought back.

18 August. Cameroon closes its border with Nigeria.

19 August. The missing 17 ebola patients who fled from the treatment center in Monrovia were found and returned to isolation. There's no telling how many people they infected during their two-day escape. Three Liberian doctors suffering from ebola were showing signs of improvement after being given the experimental drug Zmapp. President Sirleaf declared a nighttime curfew and ordered security forces to quarantine a 50000-resident slum in Monrovia. She said, "We have been unable to control the spread due to continued denials, cultural burying practices, disregard for the advice of health workers and disrespect for the warnings by the government. As a result and due to the large population concentration the disease has spread widely in Monrovia and environs. May God bless us all and save the state."

20 August. Nigerian doctor Ameyo Stella Adadevoh, who contracted the virus while treating Liberian government consultant Patrick Sawyer, died of ebola. Researchers learn that the ebola outbreak spread from Guinea because a herbalist in the remote eastern border village of Sokoma claimed to have the power to heal ebola. She got sick by touching one of them. And then everyone who came to her thereafter got the virus from her and took it back home with them. When the herbalist died, mourners became infected by touching her still-diseased body. West Africa's number of ebola deaths rises to 1350.

21 August. Senegal had closed its borders with Guinea and had refused travelers from Liberia and Sierra Leone last May, but had quickly re-opened them. Now it closes these borders once again. An outbreak of some strange disease begins in Congo; the WHO initially denies that it is ebola. In Monrovia, Liberian diplomat Neh Dukuly Tolbert urges his government to turn over authority to international groups, in the interests of better fighting ebola.

22 August. Two more cases of ebola appear in Nigeria. All counties of Liberia, without exception, are now afflicted with the disease. West Africans continue to conceal infected family members, and there continue to be places where doctors dare not go because of native hostility. Senegal blocked a UN Aid plane from landing and banned all further flights to and from the ebola-affected countries. Gabon, a central African country, followed suit. West Africa: 2615 cases, 1427 deaths.

23 August. Ivory Coast closes its borders with Liberia and Guinea. David Nabarro, one of those administrators who consider themselves indispensable with regard for endeavors for which they have no personal competence, says that the UN needs to "significantly scale up" their response to the ebola outbreak. (Duh. Why anybody pays attention, let alone respect, to these useless besuited bloviators is beyond my understanding.) The reason Nabarro's remark is true—albeit so obviously so that it hardly needed uttering—is that every time a new ebola treatment center had opened in Liberia, it was immediately filled to or beyond its capacity with new, previously unknown, ebola patients. Sierra Leone passes a law making it a criminal offense to hide an ebola infectee. It is at this time that the World Health Organization first espouses the counterintuitive idea that travel bans worsen the ebola epidemic, rather than serve the same function as any other sort of quarantine serves.

24 August. An expert epidemiologist from WHO catches ebola and gets sick.

25 August. Nigeria announces that it has halted ebola in that country and asserts that all cases there resulted from the single chain of infection started by Patrick Sawyer.

27 August. A different strain of ebola virus begins spreading in Congo. The Congolese government said it will quarantine the area around the town of Djera, in the northwestern jungle province of Equateur.

28 August. West Africa: 3069 cases, 1552 deaths. WHO predicts "eventually" more than 20,000 cases and says that the outbreak continues to accelerate, with 40% of all known cases emerging in the past three weeks. Nigeria discovers yet another ebola case when a doctor (who had secretly treated a diplomat who had been in contact with Patrick Sawyer) died from ebola. The doctor's wife, also sick, was quarantined in Port Harcourt.

29 August. An ebola case turns up in Senegal: an illegal migrant from Guinea. Meanwhile in Guinea, armed "youths" rioted in Nzerekore because of rumors that doctors were infecting people with ebola. Several persons were shot in an exchange of gunfire between the rioters and security forces. In Liberia, civil unrest in West Point Slum persuaded the government to lift the blockade.

30 August. Nurses go on strike over pay and working conditions in Kenema, Sierra Leone.

Last edited by Jerry Abbott; October 26th, 2014 at 07:38 AM.
 
Old October 25th, 2014 #7
Jerry Abbott
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Nov 2007
Location: In the hills north of Hillsboro WV
Posts: 1,048
Default

The History of the Ebola Zaire Outbreak of 2014.

Part 7. September.
Eek Scream Bite Ah.

1 September. An elderly Nigerian woman tested positive for ebola. She got infected at Good Heart Hospital in Port Harcourt, where a week earlier died Iyke Enemuo, the doctor who treated the Nigerian diplomat Koye Olu-Ibukun, who in turn had contact with Patrick Sawyer. (Evidently, the sanitation practices at Nigerian hospitals isn't as good as it might be.) In Monrovia, Liberian nurses went on strike for higher pay and better working conditions, as nurses in Sierra Leone had done a few days earlier. A 21-year-old student, suffering from ebola, evaded border patrols and crossed into Senegal by walking along the road. He had caught ebola from his brother, who had caught it during a trip into Sierra Leone. For a time, he said he had malaria, thus concealing his ebolatic condition from health authorities. When the mistake was corrected, the errant student was hospitalized in Dakar and a bunch of other people had to be quarantined.

2 September. Ebola deaths in Congo reach 31, and the ebola virus there is definitively found to be a different strain than the virus in West Africa. In Nigeria, the sister of Dr. Iyke Enemuo had gone to Abia State. Health authorities found her there with ebola symptoms; they fetched her back to Port Harcourt and put her in quarantine. Japan develops a drug, Favipiravir, to treat ebola patients and offers to sell supplies of it to Nigeria. In Liberia, the third American missionary to be infected with ebola is treated in an isolation unit in Monrovia where he had worked as an obstetrician. The ebola epidemic has caused labor shortages in West Africa, so that the harvest of food crops could be hampered. Quarantines have disrupted trade, which has made food more expensive and scarce. The scarcity resulted in panic buying, food shortages, and price hikes, especially in urban centers. US CDC director Tom Frieden, touring Liberia, criticized the shortage of hospital beds and the inability to respond quickly enough to prevent a single infected family from turning into a large ebola outbreak. He said that the "world is losing the battle" and "the number of cases is increasing so quickly that for every day's delay it becomes that much harder to stop it." Also Dr. Joanne Liu, the international president of Doctors Without Borders, denounced the lack of sufficient resources to address the crisis. She said, "Six months into the worst ebola epidemic in history, the world is losing the battle to contain it."

3 September. A new outbreak of ebola occurs in Kerouane Prefecture, Guinea. Nigerian Health Commisioner Okechukwu Ogah said that his government was trying to track down 50 people who fled from Rivers State and went into hiding in Abia. In Lagos, Nigeria, a doctor with ebola went on treating patients at his private clinic and operated on two of them, two days after he began having ebola symptoms himself. He also had attended a baby shower. Guinea: 648 cases, 430 deaths. Sierra Leone: 1026 cases, 422 deaths. Senegal: 1 case. Liberia: 1378 cases, 694 deaths. Nigeria: 17 cases, 6 deaths. West Africa: 3070 cases, 1552 deaths.

4 September. In Asaba, Delta State, Nigeria, patients, visitors, nurses and doctors ran away from Federal Medical Centre when a patient suspected of having ebola was rushed into the hospital.

5 September. A meeting of 200+ experts pondered which experimental ebola treatments should be used. They generally concluded that the blood of survivors, now immune to Ebola Zaire, should be harvested to transfer antibodies to those who remain infected. In Delta State, Nigeria, an alarming rumor began spreading to the effect that an ebola patient had died at Eku Specialist Hospital. In fact, said the hospital, she had died of diabetes. The state government authoritatively pronounced Delta State to be completely ebola-free. Ibrahim Ben Kargbo, the advisor to Sierra Leone President Ernest Bai Koroma, recommended the government take "an aggressive approach" to dealing with ebola. This aggressiveness involved an effective imposition of martial law with a continuous 72-hour curfew from 18-21 September, in every part of the country.

6 September. Doctors Without Borders issued a statement saying that Sierra Leone's proposed nationwide lockdown would not work, but would rather make things worse. Their argument goes that quarantines provoke aversion in the populace, so that infected people hide instead of reporting for treatment. Dispensing with quarantines, they say, will promote trust. Well, I suppose that's all well and good, so far as it goes. But the reason for quarantines is to prevent people from fleeing THE DISEASE with some of them inadvertently carrying it along with them into new places. All in all, I think that it is better to use the quarantine approach, even if some people do hide their infections in order to stay out of it. At least they will have to hide within a cordoned area with patrolled boundaries, and if they are sick they will sooner or later either recover or die, and either way that particular problem is solved. Appreciate that when a single village is infected, an epidemic can be prevented very easily by the simple method of shooting anyone who tries to enter or leave, if the method is sustained continuously for 30 days. After that, everyone who remains in the village will be cured and immune to ebola. You sacrifice 75% of the village, and you save 99.9% of the country. West Africa: 3968 cases, 2105 deaths (including 134 health workers).

7 September. Saudi Arabia said that it would not ban 70,000 Nigerian pilgrims from performing Haj this year because of ebola. It is such a shame that the West African countries aren't Islamic states.

8 September. A Liberian police officer got ebola from his wife, who is a nurse. As the result 18 police officers who worked with the infected one went into quarantine. Another ebola case turns up in Lagos, Nigeria. WHO issued a statement: "Transmission of the ebola virus in Liberia is already intense and the number of new cases is increasing exponentially" and noted that motorbike-taxis and regular taxis are an important vector of transmission because they are not disinfected in Liberia. West Africa: 4282 cases, 2212 deaths.

9 September. Liberian National Defense Minister Brownie Samukai said, "Liberia is facing a serious threat to its national existence. The deadly ebola virus has caused a disruption of the normal functioning of our state. It is spreading like wild fire and devouring everything in its path." (Where do these posturing popinjays keep coming from?) The African Union's executive council agreed to lift a ban on the cross-border movement of people among member states. These countries will use screening to detect infected persons. Of course, people who are infected with ebola DON'T show any symptoms for the first week or so, meaning that infected travelers can elude detection and reach their destinations before developing symptoms and beginning a new ebola outbreak in another location. Thus screening is actually the useless strategy. Travel bans are far superior. Apparently, the "travel bans don't work" nonsense has been helped along with bribes and with propaganda, and, of course, by general African stupidity.

10 September. 33 people who had contact with the stealthy student from Guinea remain in quarantine in the Parcelles Assainies neighborhood of Dakar in Senegal. In Nigeria the government is once again assuring everybody that the last case of ebola has been adequately dealt with. Meanwhile, 31 more cases of ebola have cropped up in Congo.

14 September. In Sierra Leone, a fourth doctor, Dr. Olivet Buck, died from ebola. Officials in Sierra Leone had wanted to transfer Dr. Buck to a hospital in Germany, but they didn't have the money to arrange transport and WHO denied a request of funds for this purpose.

16 September. Guinea: 936 cases; Sierra Leone: 1602 cases; Liberia: 2407 cases. West Africa: 4945 cases.

17 September. Barack Obama said he would send US troops to the West Africa with orders to do important and useful stuff.

18 September. West Africa: 5335 cases, 2622 deaths. Sierra Leone implements its national lockdown plan. Residents would remain indoors and wait for teams of volunteers to inspect them medically and bury any corpses that might happen to be lying around. In Guinea, officials reported finding eight bodies two days after a group of health workers and journalists abruptly went missing. They had been attacked near Nzerekore, near the Liberian border. One of the reporters escaped the attack and said that while she was hiding she could hear the murderous African villagers looking for her. The group of Westerners had been sent into Guinea to do disinfection and to educate on prevention methods. The black psychology has a characteristic inferiority complex, which is caused by the obvious inferiority of blacks. Thus, blacks in general are forever anxious to blame problems of their own making on others, usually on whites. This inclination makes it likely that blacks will begin rumors about ebola being an invention of white doctors, who have a secret agenda to exterminate blacks. And, of course, other blacks will believe those rumors. That is why these perfectly ordinary African villagers murdered eight white people who had come to help them.

19 September. Medecins Sans Frontieres criticizes Sierra Leone's nationwide lockdown, arguing that it will help spread the disease. MSF said that lockdowns "end up driving people underground and jeopardising the trust between people and health providers..." leading to "the concealment of potential cases and ends up spreading the disease further." Okay, some of that may be correct. However, lockdowns (or travel bans, or any form of quarantine, big or small), prevent people from spreading the disease during the week following initial infection when they don't show any symptoms. Without a quarantine of some kind, these people would travel, thinking that by this means they could escape an infection that they have already acquired. The quarantine idea is ancient, and it is a tried and true method for containing an epidemic. What is dubious, really, is this new, largely untested hypothesis that quarantines hurt more than they help. I suspect that what really motivates the objections of Doctors Without Borders is that they wish for relief from the hostility of the people among whom they live, whom they must treat and cure if they can. They don't want to be attacked by natives because of rumors that they are evil monsters who invented ebola in the first place to kill blacks, or rumors that ebola doesn't exist and that the doctors are using a mythical virus to lure Africans into a hospital to be the main course at a cannibal feast. So they say what they must know isn't true, and they advance politically a policy that is utter nonsense and is besides medically disingenuous.

20 September. While trying to bury the bodies of five ebola victims, health workers in Sierra Leone were attacked, said Sgt. Edward Momoh Brima Lahai. A group of "youths" chased away the burial team, leaving the bodies in the street. The health workers came back with police reinforcements, and the burial detail was completed.

21 September. During the 72-hour lockdown, authorities in Sierra Leone discovered 92 diseased bodies and 130 previously unreported ebola-infected persons in Freetown. Congolese President Joseph Kabila expressed optimism that the ebola problem in his country would be cleared up soon.

22 September. West Africa: 5843 cases (including 348 health care workers), 2803 deaths (including 186 health care workers). Congolese Prime Minister Augustin Matata Ponyo said that the "ebola outbreak in DRC almost over."

23 September. In the United States, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention issue a prediction of a total 1.4 million cases of ebola in Liberia and Sierra Leone by 20 January 2015.

24 September. Natives attacked a Red Cross team as it was collecting ebola-infected bodies in SE Guinea. One RC worker was wounded in the neck. The attackers were believed to be members of the dead persons' families. The workers vehicles were also vandalized. West Africa: 6263 cases; 2917 deaths.

25 September. The success of its previous lockdown persuaded Sierra Leone to do it again. This time the affected areas would be Port Loko and Bombali in the north, and Moyamba district in the south, along with Kenema and Kailahun. About 1.2 million people would be affected, about a third of the country's population. On this day, some unlucky West African became the 3000th person to die of ebola.

26 September. Thomas Eric Duncan attempts to admit himself at Texas Health Presbyterian Hospital in Dallas. He is given a useless bottle of antibiotic and turned away. Grand Gedeh County was a part of Liberia that had had much less than its share of ebola. But then a health team picked up a 35-year-old man who had migrated into the Zwedru Central Market from Ganta in Nimba County. Someone reported the man after noticing ebola-like symptoms. It turned out that the man began wandering through Liberia after the other nine members of his family died of ebola.

27 September. Liberia's chief medical officer put herself under quarantine for 21 days after her office assistant died of Ebola.

28 September. Thomas Eric Duncan is admitted to Texas Health Presbyterian Hospital after having had strong symptoms of ebola for the past two days.

29 September. Ebola cases begin occurring among police and soldiers in Liberia. A military camp near Monrovia reported 30 sick soldiers. Schools have been closed for months, and the economy (both legal and black market) is crumbling.

30 September. Liberia: 3458 cases. Sierra Leone: 2021 cases. Guinea: 1074 cases. West Africa: 6574 cases. The MOST affected regions were Boffa, Dubreka, Gueckedou, Macenta, and Telimele Prefectures in Guinea; Loffa and Margibi Counties in Liberia; and Kailahun and Kenema districts in Sierra Leone.

Last edited by Jerry Abbott; October 25th, 2014 at 07:02 PM.
 
Old October 25th, 2014 #8
Jerry Abbott
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Nov 2007
Location: In the hills north of Hillsboro WV
Posts: 1,048
Default

The History of the Ebola Zaire Outbreak of 2014.

Part 8. October.
What a Mess!

1 October. Five school children are being monitored in Dallas after having at least proximal contact with Thomas Eric Duncan after he began showing ebola symptoms. Ebola broke out in Congo again, with the number of ebola deaths there reaching 42. The disease continues to run rampant through Guinea, Sierra Leone, and Liberia. The worldwide totals are 7178 cases, 3338 deaths—among which 337 cases, 216 deaths occurred among health care workers. About 99% of ebola cases worldwide remain in West Africa.

3 October. At least 80 people are being monitored by Texas health officials because they had contact with Thomas Eric Duncan, and four of Duncan's family members are in quarantine. An American cameraman working for NBC News in Liberia has tested positive for ebola. Worldwide: 7470 cases, 3431 deaths.

6. October. In Spain, a nurse who treated a missionary for ebola at a Madrid hospital tested positive for the disease. The missionary was a 69 year old Spanish priest who died of the disease, which he contracted in Sierra Leone.

8 October. Thomas Eric Duncan dies of ebola in Texas Health Presbyterian Hospital in Dallas, Texas. In Sierra Leone, burial teams go on strike. In Liberia, health workers say they will strike if their demands for more money and better equipment aren't met by the end of the week. Worldwide: 8033 cases, 3865 deaths.

10 October. Despite hopes of a decline of ebola in Guinea's capital Conakry, Medecins Sans Frontieres reported a sharp increase of ebola cases there. Worldwide: 8399 cases, 4033 deaths. Official censorship of ebola-related news coverage begins in Liberia, as its government prohibits journalists from entering treatment centers. Government minister instructed journalists that they were from now on to report his statements, instead of what they saw for themselves. The United Nations quarantined 41 personnel from its Liberia mission, including 20 soldiers, after two ebola infections among its staff.

11 October. In Spain, the doctors and nurses at Carlos III hospital in Madrid declared themselves unwilling to treat ebola patients. Hospital workers refused to clean infected areas, including the emergency room where ebola-infectee Nurse Theresa Romero was treated. Labor unions demanded concessions. Some staff members quit their jobs rather than possibly expose themselves to ebola.

12 October. In Dallas, Texas, Nurse Nina Pham tests positive for ebola, having caught the disease while treating Thomas Eric Duncan.

13 October. In Bo-Waterside in Tewor District, Grand Cape Mount County, Liberia, 43 persons refuse to be quarantined because the quarantine areas lack a sufficient number of basic comfort items, such as mattresses. In Conakry, Guinea, a large spike in ebola cases is reported. Health care workers in Liberia go on a partial strike.

14 October. WHO says that the mortality rate for ebola in West Africa had risen to 70% and warned that there could be up to 10000 new cases per week in the region within two months. Worldwide: 8914 cases, 4447 deaths. A Liberian government minister is quarantined after his driver fell sick with ebola.

15 October. In Dallas, Texas, Nurse Amber Vinson tests positive for ebola, having caught the disease while treating Thomas Eric Duncan. Her case is complicated by two trips by air to and from Cleveland, Ohio, where she went prior to visiting relatives in the nearby town of Tallmadge. US health officials begin monitoring more than 1000 people as the result of Vinson's excursions, and her father-in-law is quarantined in his home, where Vinson had paid him a visit. Worldwide: 8997 cases, 4493 deaths, among which 427 cases, 236 deaths for health care workers.

16 October. Doctors Without Borders reports 16 of its staff members had been infected with ebola, of whom 9 had died. This despite the relatively well-equipped nature of their treatment centers.

17 October. Worldwide: 9216 cases, 4555 deaths.

18 October. Ebola continues to rise once again in Guinea.

20 October. Epidemics in Senegal and Nigeria declared finished.

21 October. WHO says that Liberia's portrayal of the ebola situation may be overly optimistic.

22 October. Ebola moves into the western side of Sierra Leone, with dozens of new cases appearing daily. People are dying at such a rate that removing the bodies is a problem. Worldwide: 9936 cases, 4877 deaths.

23 October. Mali reports first confirmed ebola infection case. In New York City, USA, Dr Craig Spencer, who had treated Ebola patients in Guinea while working with Doctors Without Borders, is diagnosed with ebola. Dr Spencer, suffering from nausea and a 100.3°F fever, was moved from his home in Harlem to Bellevue Hospital.

24 October. The two-year-old girl who was Mali's first ebola case died.

25 October. Worldwide: 10141 cases, 4922 deaths. Mortality: 71%.

26 October. Some members of the burial teams working for the health ministries of Guinea, Sierra Leone, and Liberia have been discovered to be taking bribes to leave bodies unburied and to document falsely ebola-dead as "non-ebola dead," so that families can give them traditional funerals (which carry a high risk of ebola transmission). There is a black market in blood from outside West Africa for transfusions, with criminal vendors supplying blood that is sometimes tainted with other diseases.

27 October. A 5-year-old boy who visited West Africa and returned to the United States has a fever and nausea. He is tested for ebola at Bellevue Hospital in New York.

Last edited by Jerry Abbott; October 27th, 2014 at 02:34 PM.
 
Old October 25th, 2014 #9
Jerry Abbott
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Nov 2007
Location: In the hills north of Hillsboro WV
Posts: 1,048
Default Ebola in the United States

Ebola in the United States
In Depth from 15 September through 23 October 2014.

Ebola is a viral hemorrhagic disease having a high degree of human to human contagiousness. Discovered in 1976, ebola is usually fatal, and there is no cure. Persons who are infected develop symptoms within one to three weeks, and they usually die one to two weeks after the symptoms appear. Like HIV, ebola is African in origin, named after a river there, and African fruit bats seem to form the animal reservoir from which ebola makes periodic outbreaks among domesticated animals and into the human population.

Once thought to have been wiped out, ebola began to appear near the Macenta and Guéckédou Prefectures of Guinea, Africa, on 9 February 2014. The present outbreak was first diagnosed as ebola on 22 March 2014. As of 23 September 2014, about 6000 cases had been diagnosed in Liberia and in Sierra Leone. The disease has been spreading very rapidly, and medical researchers estimate that the doubling time for the number of infections has been 18 days in Liberia and 35 days in Sierra Leone, and they predict 21000 cases by 1 November. There are several thousand more cases of ebola in Guinea, which borders both Liberia and Sierra Leone. All three countries are in West Africa, under the "rump."

Additionally, the number of unreported ebola cases might exceed the number of cases reported.

You will sometimes read that certain people (such as missionaries Nancy Writebol and Kent Brantly) were "cured" of ebola, but that's misleading. Ebola Zaire (the strain that is causing the current outbreak in Liberia) has an overall fatality rate of about 75%. Infected persons do sometimes get better on their own—not because there's any effective treatment other than shielding the patient from secondary infections while he is fighting ebola.

On 14 September 2014, Thomas Eric Duncan (African black male, age 42), along with three other black males, carried Marthalene Williams (African black female, age 19), 7-months pregnant, to and then back from an Ebola Treatment Center, which had refused to admit her because it was already overcrowded. Williams died early in the morning on 15 September.

Two of the other three men who helped Duncan carry Marthalene Williams from the hospital have also died of ebola. One of them was her brother, Sonny Boy (African black, age 21).

Duncan had been employed as a chauffeur for the general manager of Safeway Cargo in Monrovia. He left his job abruptly, without informing his employer of his absence from work. Duncan's former boss, Henry Brunson, and coworkers have stated that Duncan believed himself to be infected before he suddenly quit his job.

On 18 September 2014, Duncan boarded Brussels Airlines Flight 1247 in Monrovia, Liberia, and flew to Brussels, Belgium. Duncan flew from Brussels to Dulles International Airport in Washington DC on United Airlines Flight 951. From there, Duncan flew to Dallas/Ft. Worth, Texas, aboard United Airlines Flight 822, arriving on 20 September, ostensibly intending a one-month stay.

In order to be cleared for travel by airplane, Duncan falsely denied having had any contact with ebola-infected persons on a form required by customs in Liberia.

Thomas Eric Duncan had a girlfriend, a sister, and a son living in Dallas. The girlfriend is Louise Troh (black, age 54); the sister is Mai Wureh (black, on Facebook); the son is Eric Duncan (black, age 19). If you believe some of the stories in the news, Duncan came to the US intending to visit his relatives and to marry Troh. But Duncan had not even seen his son Eric since he was a toddler, so the timing of his visit seems to make that explanation questionable. It's more likely that Duncan suspected that he might be infected himself and that his real reason for coming to America was to get free medical treatment that he couldn't get in Africa. If so, then his relationship with his son and with Troh merely supplied a pretext for his visit and determined which US city would end up getting stuck with his diseased ass.

Duncan's return to Africa had been scheduled for 19 October, along the reverse route, except that his final destination was to have been Lungi International Airport in Freetown, Sierra Leone, rather than Liberia. Of course, Duncan never returned to Africa. When his symptoms were discovered on 26 September, Duncan was examined at Texas Health Presbyterian Hospital in Dallas, but the doctors failed to make the correct diagnosis and released Duncan the same day. The error was recognized and the diagnosis was corrected on 28 September, and Duncan was admitted.

In the two days between his two attempts to be admitted to the hospital, Duncan is known to have had at least proximal contact with several hundred people, including children who attend four different public schools. Another seven Liberians believed to have been infected by Williams have also died from ebola. During this time, Duncan's symptoms became strong, including high fever and vomiting. Duncan died in the hospital on 8 October.

Soon after Duncan's death, a nurse named Nina Pham (US-resident Asian, age 26), began showing symptoms of ebola and was quarantined. On 16 October, Pham was moved from Dallas to a National Institutes of Health isolation unit in Bethesda, Maryland. Pham's boyfriend, an unnamed employee of Alcon Laboratories, was quarantined. I am uncertain whether or not Mr. Boyfriend has any of the symptoms of ebola.

A second nurse, Amber Joy Vinson (US-resident black, age 29) was also infected but didn't show symptoms as quickly. Vinson flew from Dallas/Ft. Worth TX to Cleveland, Ohio, aboard Frontier Airlines Flight 1142 on 10 October 2014. While in Ohio, she visited with relatives in Tallmadge OH. She began showing symptoms (fever) just before she made a return trip on Frontier Airlines Flight 1143, along with 132 other passengers, on the morning of 13 October 2014.

The Frontier jet that carried Vinson to Dallas (tail number N220FR) made five further flights before being taken out of service. Those flights were:

Dallas to Cleveland
Frontier Flight 2042
9:11 - 11:14 EST

Cleveland to Fort Lauderdale
Frontier Flight 1104
12:24 - 15:00 EST

Fort Lauderdale to Cleveland
Frontier Flight 1105
16:03 - 18:16 EST

Cleveland to Atlanta
Frontier Flight 1101
19:24 - 21:03 EST

Atlanta to Cleveland
Frontier Flight 1100
22:12 - 23:19 EST

On 14 October 2014, Amber Vinson's stepfather, a resident of Tallmadge, was quarantined in the house where he lives and to which Amber Vinson paid a visit. The house has been cordoned off by the police.

Amber Vincent was moved from Dallas to Emory University Hospital in Atlanta, Georgia, on 15 October. So now there are four known places from which the disease might conceivably radiate, if the medical professionals screw up again: Dallas TX, Cleveland OH, Bethesda ML, and Atlanta GA.

Ashoka Mukpo (white, age 33) is the fourth ebola patient in the United States. He was flown to Nebraska Medical Center on 5 October 2014. He was a photographer working in Liberia with NBC news chief medical correspondent Dr. Nancy Snyderman (race uncertain, age 62).

Nancy Snyderman has claimed to be a Christian in the recent past, but she was described as Jewish by Debbie Schlussel, who is herself Jewish.

See: "Schmucker Carlson’s Crappy Daily Caller Lies, Claims Jews Say Bacon Sundae is 'Anti-Semitic'," by Debbie Schlussel, posted 13 June 2012, from which quote: "...liberal airhead NBC medical consultant Dr. Nancy Snyderman (who is Jewish) accused Burger King of being 'anti-Semitic'..."

Upon her return to the United States from Liberia, Snyderman and her crew entered into a voluntary quarantine in Princeton, New Jersey. On 9 October 2014, she violated her quarantine by going to Peasant Grill restaurant in Hopewell Borough. She remained in her black Mercedes, trying to disguise herself with dark sunglasses and by having her hair pulled back, while a male friend went into the restaurant after the food. On 11 October, possibly as the result of Snyderman's untrustworthy conduct, the New Jersey Health Department made the quarantine mandatory.

On 23 October 2014, Dr. Craig Spencer (white, age 33), a Doctors-Without-Borders doctor who had treated ebola victims in Guinea, was rushed to Bellevue Hospital in New York City with a 100.3°F fever and nausea, both of which are symptoms of ebola.

Last edited by Jerry Abbott; October 25th, 2014 at 06:48 PM.
 
Old October 25th, 2014 #10
Jerry Abbott
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Nov 2007
Location: In the hills north of Hillsboro WV
Posts: 1,048
Default

The rise in the number of ebola cases worldwide, from 1 May 2014 until 18 October 2014, plotted on a semi-log graph.


The log-linear fit to the number of reported cases of ebola vs the number of days between 1 May and 18 October 2014 is

N = 10^(0.0094035 d + 2.3692)

where N is the number of reported cases of ebola, and d is the number of days after 1 May 2014 = JD 2456779. The doubling time implied by the coefficient on d is 32.013 days. (The e-folding time is 46.184 days. The ten-folding time is 106.343 days)

If the trend continues, there should be 40000 reported cases by Christmas.

Assuming that nearly all ebola cases remain confined to Liberia, Guinea, and Sierra Leone, that total cases are 2.5 times greater in number than reported cases, and that the extrapolation continues to track reality, the full course will have been run by 1 September 2015, with about 16 million deaths and 6 million immune survivors (who can then resume giving each other HIV infections).

Let me explain one way in which statistics can be used to deceive. The mortality rate for a disease is the fraction of the infected people who eventually die from it. Because the blue and red lines in the graphic, shown above, are separated by about 1 doubling height, certain persons are saying that the mortality rate for Ebola Zaire, in the current outbreak in West Africa, is only 50%. But that isn't really true. The reason it isn't true is that the estimate leaves out the people who are already infected with ebola, who will eventually die, but who haven't died yet. On the average, someone infected with ebola develops symptoms about 11 days later, and is diagnosed 2 days after that. The symptomatic disease carries on for an average of 7 more days, for a total of 20 days after the infection. Even if all new infections were to stop, the red line would continue to rise for another 20 days (11+2+7). Since some of these additional people will end up, a few days later, on the red line (i.e. dead) a closer estimate for the mortality rate for this ebola outbreak is something like 72%.

Last edited by Jerry Abbott; October 27th, 2014 at 02:27 PM.
 
Old October 27th, 2014 #11
Jerry Abbott
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Nov 2007
Location: In the hills north of Hillsboro WV
Posts: 1,048
Default

Although the average doubling time for ebola cases has been 32.013 days overall, a careful examination of reports from the WHO show that the doubling time during the 30 days from 25 September to 25 October was 43.649 days.

As much as I'd like to attribute the apparent slowing down of the ebola transmission rate to the fact that nearly every nurse in West Africa has gone on strike for higher pay, there's a possibility that the recent increase in the doubling time isn't real. Liberia has begun official censorship of ebola news. Corruption among native ebola infectee hunters and burial teams is on the rise—the blacks have begun taking bribes not to report cases and deaths. And it may be that the WHO just doesn't have the resources to keep up with things on this scale.

Last edited by Jerry Abbott; October 27th, 2014 at 03:25 PM.
 
Old October 27th, 2014 #12
Jerry Abbott
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Nov 2007
Location: In the hills north of Hillsboro WV
Posts: 1,048
Default The reason Liberia is censoring journalists

Why is Liberia censoring ebola-related news? There are apparently a few niggers in its government who are able to think ahead, at least to the local harvest season. Ebola has frightened a lot of Liberia's farmers into bugging out and leaving their farms and fields untended. Without their labor, Liberia will have a food shortage and have to rely on the hated whitey to bail their black asses out (again). And it might cost them money at a time when they are strapped for cash. So they're heavily into minimizing the bad and issuing false reassurances, so that the farmers will stay around and maybe survive ebola long enough to bring in the crops.
 
Old November 7th, 2014 #13
Jerry Abbott
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Nov 2007
Location: In the hills north of Hillsboro WV
Posts: 1,048
Default

Funny things have been happening with the WHO's cumulative total numbers of cases and deaths. On 28 October 2014, the tally in both figures was frozen, with the same numbers being cited for the next seven days. Then, on 5 November, both of these cumulative totals began running backwards, i.e., decreasing. In particular, the net number of persons in Sierra Leone who had died of ebola on 5 November was 430 fewer than had been the case a week earlier. Apparently, the gates of death are something of a revolving door, where ebola is concerned.
 
Old November 8th, 2014 #14
A.W. Gilmore
Junior Member
 
Join Date: Nov 2014
Posts: 12
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Jerry Abbott View Post
Ebola has frightened a lot of Liberia's farmers into bugging out and leaving their farms and fields untended. Without their labor, Liberia will have a food shortage...
I was going to LOL but then quickly realised the mentally-ill white liberals will be importing these ebola carrying jiggaboos into the west as 'refugees'.
 
Reply

Tags
ebola

Share


Thread
Display Modes


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 12:04 PM.
Page generated in 0.19398 seconds.